Federated Investors (FII) Weighed Down by Low Interest Rates and SEC-Reform Headline Risk

April 10, 2013

Federated Investors (FII) faces headwinds due to continued low interest rates and headline risk from SEC policy change proposals, leading Jason Weyeneth, Lead Analyst at Sterne Agee & Leach, Inc., to rate the stock an “underperform” among investment management products and services.

“As a money market fund provider with interest rates as low as they are, Federated has to waive a sizable portion of fees in order to keep the returns above zero for their money market fund investors, and it seems pretty clear from what’s going on from a macro standpoint and from Fed commentary that short-term interest rates are going to remain low for the foreseeable future, which will drive continued earnings pressure for Federated of roughly $0.10 to $0.12 per quarter, so it’s a material earnings headwind,” Weyeneth said.

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Weyeneth says the headline risk stemming from the proposal of reform implementation may have a negative impact on the stock. He says he doesn’t think the SEC will implement reforms that will have a negative impact on FII‘s business model, but the headlines are enough to pose risk and repel some investors.

“I think we’re certainly going to see a proposal of some sort from the SEC, which could include aspects that would appear to be detrimental to their business model if passed. I don’t think they ultimately get passed, but I don’t want to own the stock in the face of what’s likely to be some negative regulatory headlines later in the year,” Weyeneth said.