FBR Capital Markets & Co., analyst Randy Binner says AFLAC Incorporated (AFL) has been “left for dead” by many investors because 75% of its business is focused on Japan and the yen has depreciated by about 50% versus the dollar over the last two years. But, Binner still recommends Aflac.
“I can’t help people with the yen piece, but we think that, through some reinsurance transactions, they are going to be able to hit buyback levels that are higher than the Street and that the sales of their products in Japan will continue to outperform,” Binner says.
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While Aflac is not as cheap on book value as Hartford (NYSE:HIG) or AIG (NYSE:AIG), Binner says it is trading at 10 to 11 times on earnings.
“Aflac is very profitable not only from what they can make on investment income, but also on their underwriting” he says. “It is a very predictable book of business.”
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